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Press secretary JEN PSAKI will gaggle aboard Air Force One en route to Fort Worth
ON THE NO-FLY ZONE: The group of 27 foreign policy heavyweights has signed an open letter to the Biden administration calling for a "limited no-fly zone" The campaign is led by ROBERT MCCONNELL, co-founder of the US-Ukraine Foundation
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But in their new letter, these signatories are calling for something a little different:
This morning we have a pair of significant Ukraine-related exclusives
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— AP's Alan Fram also notes that the proposed financial aid to Ukraine "has grown beyond $12 billion, as congressional bargainers worked toward a bipartisan government-wide spending deal that would also contain fresh sums for battling Covid-19"
ske--byphp--iftb---------------------------------------lhf--fviaq--zphy— 4:30 pm: Biden and McDonough will deliver remarks on health care
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On the Ukraine question in particular, the change is especially notable among independents, whose approval of Biden's handling of the conflict rose by more than 5 percentage points the past week; and Republicans, whose support grew by 2 points over that period Toplines … Crosstabs
Related read: "Biden warms to a Russian oil ban Congress may not give him a choice," from our Andrew Desiderio, Burgess Everett and Jonathan Lemire
DAY 13 …
Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN warned Saturday that Russia would view any nation declaring a no-fly zone "as participants of the military conflict" It's one of the few things that Biden and Putin seem to agree on: A no-fly zone would start a war between NATO and Russia
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"But as Russian forces largely rely on long-range missiles, the invasion has caused widespread and often indiscriminate damage, creating a humanitarian catastrophe that has left hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians with no heat, water or electricity, and struggling to find a path to escape While the prospect of a cease-fire and 'humanitarian corridors' was again being discussed on Tuesday, there was little evidence that conditions on the ground would allow for large-scale evacuations from areas of the heaviest fighting"
Some of the big names who signed: retired Gen PHILIP BREEDLOVE, former Supreme Allied Commander Europe; IAN BRZEZINSKI, former deputy assistant secretary of Defense; PAULA DOBRIANSKY, former undersecretary of State for global affairs; ERIC EDELMAN, former undersecretary of Defense; EVELYN FARKAS, former deputy assistant secretary of Defense for Russia, Ukraine, Eurasia; DANIEL FRIED, former assistant secretary of State and US ambassador to Poland; JOHN HERBST, former US ambassador to Ukraine; JOHN KORNBLUM, former assistant secretary of State and US ambassador to Germany; DAVID MERKEL, former deputy assistant secretary of State and NSC director; WILLIAM TAYLOR, former US ambassador to Ukraine; ALEXANDER VERSHBOW, former US ambassador to Russia and NATO; and KURT VOLKER, former US ambassador to NATO and special representative for Ukraine negotiations
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— 3:30 pm: Biden and VA Secretary DENIS MCDONOUGH will speak with VA health care providers and about burn pits and other health issues
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— 11:15 am: Biden will depart the White House en route to Fort Worth, Texas, where he is scheduled to arrive at 2:45 pm
We asked Cameron Easley, senior politics editor for Morning Consult, to help us make sense of the findings "It's not unusual for presidents to see their numbers improve immediately following a major address like a State of the Union, or for the so-called 'rally around the flag' effect to provide a similar boost when the country is facing a security threat," he wrote to us "Biden's speech last week gave him a chance to capitalize on both of those impulses in the US electorate, so it's plausible that we're seeing some real upward movement here"
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This strikes us as a sincere attempt to answer the nagging question that many in the West have about wanting to do something about the humanitarian catastrophe Putin has unleashed without escalating into a potential nuclear conflict The proposal described here is strictly about protecting civilians and enforcing the humanitarian corridors that Putin claims to back
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BIDEN'S TUESDAY (all times Eastern):
— 6:25 pm: Biden will depart Fort Worth to return to the White House, where he is scheduled to arrive at 9:20 pm
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LATEST IN UKRAINE — NYT: "On land, in the air and across the sea, the Ukrainian military and civilian soldiers continued to bedevil and bog down Russian forces on Tuesday, protecting the borders of key cities and inflicting heavy losses against the larger and better equipped Russian army
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No doubt, members of Congress, and officials at the White House, Pentagon and State Department will be pressed on this today (The proposal does not change the fact that NATO would be in a position of engaging Russian forces that violate the limited no-fly zone, so we think we know what the answer will be)
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----WuCBjKnP;fywbfj hbz--edgab--edwg---------------------------------------oyg--cnvlg--phwzAt the same time, Easley added: "It's also true that most of these boosts are short-lived … so it's too early to say if this represents some kind of turning point in Biden's political fortunes"
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THE HOUSE will meet at 10 am CIA Director WILLIAM BURNS, DNI AVRIL HAINES, NSA Director Gen PAUL NAKASONE, FBI Director CHRISTOPHER WRAY and Defense Intelligence Agency Director Lt Gen SCOTT BERRIER will testify before the Intelligence Committee at 10 am New York City Mayor ERIC ADAMS and Houston Mayor SYLVESTER TURNER will be among those testifying about public safety before a Judiciary subcommittee at 10 am
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WAR IN UKRAINE
FLUKE — OR TREND? The numbers are in line with other polls documenting an uptick for Biden since his State of the Union address On Friday, NPR/PBS/Marist found that his overall job approval rating had jumped by 8 points to 47% from 39% Also that "a majority of Americans (52%) approve of how President Biden is handling the situation in Ukraine, up from 34% last week"
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As you've no doubt read by now, a no-fly zone over Ukraine has been ruled out by Biden and a wide cross-section of foreign policy leaders Sen MARCO RUBIO (R-Fla) succinctly described the idea as leading to "World War III" To set up a no-fly zone, NATO (ie American) pilots would first have to destroy Russian air defenses To enforce a no-fly zone, NATO would have to shoot down Russian planes that violate it
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THE SENATE is in Assistant AG KRISTEN CLARKE and Rabbi CHARLIE CYTRON-WALKER of Colleyville, Texas, will be among those testifying before the Judiciary Committee at a hearing on the rise in hate crimes at 10 am The Foreign Relations Committee will hold a markup on 2:30 pm to vote on nominations, including DEBORAH LIPSTADT for special envoy to monitor and combat antisemitism
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"We, the undersigned, urge the Biden administration, together with NATO allies, to impose a limited No-Fly Zone over Ukraine starting with protection for humanitarian corridors that were agreed upon in talks between Russian and Ukrainian officials on Thursday NATO leaders should convey to Russian officials that they do not seek direct confrontation with Russian forces, but they must also make clear that they will not countenance Russian attacks on civilian areas"
"President Biden and NATO Secretary General [JENS] STOLTENBERG have stated that neither the United States nor NATO will engage Russian forces on the ground in Ukraine," they write "What we seek is the deployment of American and NATO aircraft not in search of confrontation with Russia but to avert and deter Russian bombardment that would result in massive loss of Ukrainian lives"
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EYES ON TRADE RELATIONS … "A powerful, bipartisan group [of lawmakers] announced Monday it would craft legislation suspending normal trade relations with Russia and Belarus, and grant the White House the authority to increase tariffs on the two countries, in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine," CNN's Alex Rogers and Manu Raju report "They also said they had agreed to strike a deal banning the import of 'energy products' from Russia The letter was signed by Massachusetts Democratic Rep RICHARD NEAL, Texas GOP Rep KEVIN BRADY, Oregon Democratic Sen RON WYDEN and Republican Sen MIKE CRAPO of Idaho"
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— 9:30 am: The president will receive the President's Daily Brief
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